With the strength of a massive shift in support among black voters and young voters, Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump on Thursday held a six-point lead over Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton in a new national poll.
The USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times Daybreak tracking poll, which records Americans’ support for the presidential candidates on a daily basis, showed that as of Thursday, Trump leads Clinton 47.2 percent to 41.3 percent. The results are a comeback for Trump, who on Aug. 14 trailed Clinton 46.3 percent to 41.6 percent.
Although Clinton remained the leader among black Americans, the poll showed that support fell from 85 percent to 75.3 percent while Trump, whose support had hovered in the single digits for much of the campaign, rose to 19.3 percent.
Voters in the 18-34 age range have vacillated throughout the campaign, according to the USC/Dornsife poll, but have generally favored Clinton, with Trump’s support among the group falling as low as 35 percent last month. However as of Thursday, Trump was leading Clinton among voters aged 18-34 by a margin of 47.7 percent to 37.9 percent.
Although a Quinnipiac poll showed Clinton with a five-point lead over Trump head-to-head nationally, one commentator noted that given other options, the youth vote has left Clinton in droves.
— Ronald Brownstein (@RonBrownstein) September 14, 2016
The poll showed Trump leading among multiple demographic groups.
Among respondents 35 to 64, Trump led 46.7 to 41.3 percent. Among voters over 65, he led 47.8 percent to 45.3 percent.
Among respondents with a high school education or less, Trump led Clinton 54 percent to 36.9 percent. He also led 49.7 percent to 36.3 percent among respondents with some college education.
Trump held a wide lead over Clinton, 50.4 percent to 37.5 percent, among Americans with incomes between $35,000 and $75,000. He led Clinton 49.4 to 40.1 percent among voters with incomes over $75,000.
Trump led Clinton 55.1 percent to 33.1 percent among white voters. Although Clinton led Trump 53.8 to 31 percent among Hispanic voters, Trump’s figure remains higher than the 27 percent of the Hispanic vote received by GOP candidate Mitt Romney in the 2012 election.
Trump led Clinton by a 56 percent to 33.5 percent margin among male voters, and trailed Clinton among women 49 percent to 38.6 percent.
The Daybreak tracking poll is part of the Understanding America Study conducted by USC’s Dornsife Center for Economic and Social Research. The online poll, which tracks the same respondents over time, is being done as a partnership between the LA Times and USC’s Jesse M. Unruh Institute of Politics.
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